Friday, March 27, 2009

Swiss Under Fire - Is It Wise To Poke The Cuckoo?

Alastair Darling called the situation a 'mood change' and German Finance Minister, Peer Steinbruck, has defended himself against comments that he is 'Nazi stooge' when Swiss Parliamentarian, Thomas Muller, said Steinbruck reminded him of a "generation of Germans who marched through the streets in leather coats, boots and armbands".

I have to say the 'Nazi' slur was a bit strong, but you can understand why some in Switzerland are annoyed at the bully-boy tactics aimed at their banking secrecy.

I live in Switzerland and I can tell you that most people here are not happy. Whether they agree or disagree with Switzerland's banking secrecy rules, (many in Switzerland have been campaigning for change for years.. see the vote in the Canton of Zurich to strip tax breaks for the wealthy) the Swiss are unhappy about what amounts to an attack on their sovereignty.

In a case of 'kick them while they are down' Darling and his co-conspirators in Germany and the US have used the fragile world economic environment to get concessions from other countries, such as Switzerland and Monaco, to take down a central pillar of their competitive advantage over the 'world powers'.

Darling even said "I think there are things that are now possible, ironically, in the face of a crisis like this that simply weren't possible even a short time ago".

What else does he believe is 'possible' in this 'crisis'?

Ah regulatory overhaul, excellent! That will deal with the bankers, the public will love that. Increase the tax on the rich, super! Let's get back to the days of 95% tax for the super wealthy (they will have no place to hide it now that we have dealt with Switzerland). Unionisation, perfect! The Yanks are getting rid of the secret ballot... we can do that too!

Oh, it's happy days for the ego maniacs in government now. I can see the Scottish Army of Darling and Brown doing a little Scottish jig at the thought of using the suffering of unemployed people and businesses throughout the world as an excuse to implement their version of the new world order.

The thing is that the UK and others should be aware that when you start down this path you open yourself up for many a retaliatory strike. For example a Swiss Euro2bn order for Euro Fighters made in Germany is 'on hold' and calls for a reduction of German imports is rumoured. One minster said "We have no problem with the German people, but they may have to choose between their current government or jobs". There is also over Euro300 billion in fiduciary accounts throughout European banks, withdrawing that and bringing it back to Switzerland, could cause a few problems.

The Swiss Finance Minister also gave up his German Mercedes for a French Renault. This may sound like grandstanding, with no real value to it but you only have to look at the cars on the road here. I would guestimate that 50% of the cars are German; BMW's, Mercs and VW's. The Swiss are great for the 'people power' aspect of their society, if there was any sort of German backlash we may find such cars a little less popular here.

Couldn't happen? Don't be so sure. Much of this newly found governmental 'power' is because of the underlying social unrest at the current economic environment. It is fueling controversial policies 'that would not have been possible even a short time ago'. Switzerland is no different, actually I lie, Switzerland is different. If pressures that are being put on this Alpine fortress start to cause unemployment and economic discomfort for the masses and this pressure is seen as the route cause, there could be trouble.

A referendum on law changes only requires 50,000 signatures to be put forward to have it voted upon. Darling et al, may talk a good game about democracy etc, but true democracy is practiced here and could be used by the public to make a point.

The UK, in a precarious position with its convoluted tax 'reforms' for fund managers, should be a little careful. A couple of switches in the Swiss regulatory and tax laws (that would be in line with MiFid rules.. how is that for 'ironic') would see an exodus of wealthy fund managers from UK shores to the shores of Lake Geneva, where there is less crime, a better standard of living, better schools, great skiing and... well... good fondue.

You can bet that certain elements in the Swiss government are sitting down, as you read this, talking about how they can make up for the inevitable job losses that will be felt in the banking sector due to this latest attack. Tax and regulatory changes could be implemented quickly and efficiently and before you know it our ski slopes would be teeming with hedge fund managers taking a lunch break twenty minutes away from their lake front offices while dumping their tiny overpriced London homes via their Blackberries.

I don't mean to have a go at the UK, I am English and proud, but I am exasperated at the way that this government especially, brow beats the general public with populist policies aimed at deflecting the blame for their incompetence on countries such as Switzerland. For goodness sake, we only have 7.5mn people, thats just a little more than London!

Remember, Switzerland is not some second world backward country, it is at the heart of Europe with a highly educated, work-efficient, multi-lingual population and the country has a public infrastructure that makes the UK look like a former soviet country, straight after the collapse.

If Switzerland decided it needed to compete with the UK directly for the title as 'financial capital of Europe' in order to boost its economy I am afraid the UK would be the Goliath to Switzerland’s David.

If I was in this fight, I wouldn’t be watching the stumbling giant; I would be watching the little guy, loading up his sling.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

AngelSift - A Winner for Investors?

I am very fortunate to have been asked to work with a new business angel/business networking site called AngelSift.com. The site is aimed at business angels and sophisticated investors that are looking for investment ideas for, generally, Internet based businesses.

Having looked at many sites that offer a similar service the founders of the company saw that some sites charge relatively high fees to become members and upload deals, even charging on funds raised. While, as a traditional corporate finance model, this works, on the Internet people are not used to having to pay huge sums for information that, with a little work and research, could be found for free.

AngelSift, therefore, has a free membership level where members can view the site and find out if it is for them. If an investor would like to interact the fee is a mere £20 for a year’s membership or, for a limited time, £120 for life membership.

Entrepreneurs who are seeking funding can upload one deal per month for an annual payment of £20 and multiple deals for a £60 annual payment.

The site is primarily aimed at web entrepreneurs seeking funding and the investors who would be interested in this area, but it also will be encouraging web entrepreneurs who wish to sell there web based businesses.

From our own research, and from some of the businesses we have bought online, we know that there are literally thousands of small web businesses making a profit for very little work, through advertising. There are other marketplaces but most are US based, AngelSift, although welcoming all investors and entrepreneurs, is targeted at the European market.

The first site should go live in a few weeks and the team has promised to furiously add functionality as the site grows. The concentration initially is building up the database of users and the resources available to those users.

Next stage development is being kept hush, hush but I can say that they have an ambitious business valuation project to implement and a variety of data gathering tools that will enhance membership and the information available to that membership.

The great thing that we have found is that the guys putting it together are not taking themselves too seriously. One of the backers, who has been in corporate finance for 20 years and is funding the site, says, "The approach is not like some of the big angel networks who have turned the space into a boring science project. Angelsift, and the guys behind it, are looking at it from a low cost base for users and a genuine desire to fit angels with investors, but in a hands-off, none meddling way"

Looking at the people they have got as initial members (I won't steal their thunder), the founders may not take themselves too seriously but the users of the site certainly should.